With less than six months to go to the referendum on
Scottish independence, the arguments are getting louder and increasingly bad
tempered.
Over the past few weeks Alex Salmond and his Nationalist
colleagues have made a sustained effort to frame their opponents’ arguments as
those of an overbearing elite who are lying about their intentions in effort to
scare Scottish voters away from independence. Yes, most of it surrounds the
prospects of a currency union with the rest of the UK, although I’m sure
questions of EU membership, defence policy and border controls are also going
to stir up some sound and fury in months ahead.
What the Nationalists are not keen on anyone talking about
is how the public in the rest of the UK feels about these issues. It suits
their case to define independence in terms of Scots asserting themselves
against a governing class from privileged backgrounds, rather than detaching
themselves from the people of England, Wales and Northern Ireland.
I suspect that plenty of Scots would at least take into
account the opinions of their UK compatriots. Scotland has retained its own
legal and education systems, and there are some cultural differences, but we have
a lot more in common. We share an economy and transport infrastructure, study
at each other’s universities, generally watch the same TV programmes, listen to
the same music and laugh at the same jokes.
Most importantly, a lot of Scots live in England, and a
smaller but significant number of English people live in Scotland, with Welsh
and Northern Irish also settling across the borders. It’s everyday stuff that
has kept us together, and in the event of independence some of this is going to
change, and this will affect attitudes on both sides of the border.
One thing the Scots deserve in advance of the vote is clarity
around what the people in the rest of the UK, not just the politicians, think
about independence. Just knowing if they
want them to stay would be a big issue, along with attitudes towards a couple
of the factors – currency and borders – that everyone will notice.
There has been a recent Yougov
poll on currency union, but the process would benefit from a large scale
opinion poll across England, Wales and Northern Ireland – commissioned independently
of the government – asking three questions to be answered with a simple yes, no
or undecided:
1 – Do you hope that Scotland votes to remain as part of the
UK in September?
2 – In the event of Scotland becoming independent, do you
think it should be allowed into a currency union with the UK?
3 – In the event of Scotland becoming independent, do you
think there should be a full border and regulation of movement from one side to
the other?
Show people in Scotland what the rest of the UK thinks about
these and they’ll go into the referendum with a clearer picture than that presented
by the Nationalists.
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